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High-resolution CMIP6 analysis highlights emerging climate challenges in alpine and Tibetan Tundra zones

Authors
/persons/resource/Fallah

Fallah,  Bijan H.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/rostami

Rostami,  Masoud
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/didovets

Didovets,  Iulii
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Dong ,  Zhiwen
External Organizations;

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2024_09_Fallah.pdf
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Citation

Fallah, B. H., Rostami, M., Didovets, I., Dong, Z. (2024): High-resolution CMIP6 analysis highlights emerging climate challenges in alpine and Tibetan Tundra zones. - Meteorological Applications, 31, 5, e70001.
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70001


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30273
Abstract
We employ a high-resolution Köppen climate classification dataset to examine shifts in Tundra zones within the Alps and Asia. Our analysis shows substan- tial reductions in Tundra areas by the mid-21st century under different Shared. Socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5). Tundra zones in the Alps and the Tibetan Plateau are crucial for their unique climates and role as water reservoirs. Characterized by short, mild summers and long, severe win- ters, these zones are vital for the glaciers and perennial snow. The projected climate instability may significantly reduce alpine snow cover by mid-century with irreversible consequences. A 2C temperature increase from the 1981– 2010 baseline could eliminate the Tundra climate in the Alps and reduce it by over 70% in Asia. This is particularly concerning given that rivers from the Tibetan Plateau sustain nearly 40% of the global population.