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Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events

Authors

Knutzen,  Florian
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Averbeck,  Paul
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Barrasso,  Caterina
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Bouwer,  Laurens M.
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Gardiner,  Barry
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Grünzweig,  José M.
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Hänel,  Sabine
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Haustein,  Karsten
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Johannessen,  Marius Rohde
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Kollet,  Stefan
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Müller,  Mortimer M.
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Pietikäinen,  Joni-Pekka
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Pietras-Couffignal,  Karolina
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Pinto,  Joaquim G.
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Rechid,  Diana
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Rousi,  Eftychia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Russo,  Ana
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Suarez-Gutierrez,  Laura
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Veit,  Sarah
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Wendler,  Julian
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Xoplaki,  Elena
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Gliksman,  Daniel
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Citation

Knutzen, F., Averbeck, P., Barrasso, C., Bouwer, L. M., Gardiner, B., Grünzweig, J. M., Hänel, S., Haustein, K., Johannessen, M. R., Kollet, S., Müller, M. M., Pietikäinen, J.-P., Pietras-Couffignal, K., Pinto, J. G., Rechid, D., Rousi, E., Russo, A., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Veit, S., Wendler, J., Xoplaki, E., Gliksman, D. (2025): Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events. - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 25, 1, 77-117.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-77-2025


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_32939
Abstract
Drought and heat events in Europe are becoming increasingly frequent due to human-induced climate change, impacting both human well-being and ecosystem functioning. The intensity and effects of these events vary across the continent, making it crucial for decision-makers to understand spatial variability in drought impacts. Data on drought-related damage are currently dispersed across scientific publications, government reports, and media outlets. This study consolidates data on drought and heat damage in European forests from 2018 to 2022, using Europe-wide datasets including those related to crown defoliation, insect damage, burnt forest areas, and tree cover loss. The data, covering 16 European countries, were analysed across four regions, northern, central, Alpine, and southern, and compared with a reference period from 2010 to 2014.

Findings reveal that forests in all zones experienced reduced vitality due to drought and elevated temperatures, with varying severity. Central Europe showed the highest vulnerability, impacting both coniferous and deciduous trees. The southern zone, while affected by tree cover loss, demonstrated greater resilience, likely due to historical drought exposure. The northern zone is experiencing emerging impacts less severely, possibly due to site-adapted boreal species, while the Alpine zone showed minimal impact, suggesting a protective effect of altitude.

Key trends include (1) significant tree cover loss in the northern, central, and southern zones; (2) high damage levels despite 2021 being an average year, indicating lasting effects from previous years; (3) notable challenges in the central zone and in Sweden due to bark beetle infestations; and (4) no increase in wildfire severity in southern Europe despite ongoing challenges.

Based on this assessment, we conclude that (i) European forests are highly vulnerable to drought and heat, with even resilient ecosystems at risk of severe damage; (ii) tailored strategies are essential to mitigate climate change impacts on European forests, incorporating regional differences in forest damage and resilience; and (iii) effective management requires harmonised data collection and enhanced monitoring to address future challenges comprehensively.