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The evidence gap index: mapping evidence where it matters for climate change impacts

Authors
/persons/resource/sarah.lueck

Lück,  Sarah       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;
Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/max.callaghan

Callaghan,  Max       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Schleussner,  Carl-Friedrich
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/jan.minx

Minx,  Jan C.       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Citation

Lück, S., Callaghan, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Minx, J. C. (2025 online): The evidence gap index: mapping evidence where it matters for climate change impacts. - Climate & Development.
https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2025.2479005


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33479
Abstract
Climate change impacts are already evident and projected to worsen throughout the 21st century, even with mitigation efforts. Systematic mapping is key to organizing scientific evidence and identifying gaps, but current methods lack geographical context in relation to climate impact risk. In this study, we leverage machine learning to scale up systematic mapping and use automatic geolocation to track place-based research. We then enhance conventional systematic mapping by integrating location-based climate risk components—hazard, exposure, and vulnerability—to create an evidence gap index. This identifies high-risk regions that lack sufficient scientific study. We demonstrate this method using fluvial floods, combining research distribution with a flood-risk indicator (hazard), population density (exposure), and the Human Development Index (vulnerability). Our novel approach refines evidence mapping, supporting data-driven policymaking and directing research resources to the most urgent areas.