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  Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a)

Frieler, K., Volkholz, J., Lange, S., Schewe, J., Mengel, M., Rivas López, M. d. R., Otto, C., Reyer, C. P. O., Karger, D. N., Malle, J. T., Treu, S., Menz, C., Blanchard, J. L., Harrison, C. S., Petrik, C. M., Eddy, T. D., Ortega-Cisneros, K., Novaglio, C., Rousseau, Y., Watson, R. A., Stock, C., Liu, X., Heneghan, R., Tittensor, D., Maury, O., Büchner, M., Vogt, T., Wang, T., Sun, F., Sauer, I., Koch, J., Vanderkelen, I., Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., Rabin, S., Klar, J., Vega del Valle, I., Lasslop, G., Chadburn, S., Burke, E., Gallego-Sala, A., Smith, N., Chang, J., Hantson, S., Burton, C., Gädeke, A., Li, F., Gosling, S. N., Müller Schmied, H., Hattermann, F. F., Wang, J., Yao, F., Hickler, T., Marcé, R., Pierson, D., Thiery, W., Mercado-Bettín, D., Ladwig, R., Ayala-Zamora, A. I., Forrest, M., Bechtold, M. (2024): Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a). - Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 1, 1-51.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024

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https://data.isimip.org/ (Supplementary material)
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 Creators:
Frieler, Katja1, Author              
Volkholz, Jan1, Author              
Lange, Stefan1, Author              
Schewe, Jacob1, Author              
Mengel, Matthias1, Author              
Rivas López, María del Rocío1, Author              
Otto, Christian1, Author              
Reyer, Christopher P. O.1, Author              
Karger, Dirk Nikolaus2, Author
Malle, Johanna T.2, Author
Treu, Simon1, Author              
Menz, Christoph1, Author              
Blanchard, Julia L.2, Author
Harrison, Cheryl S.2, Author
Petrik, Colleen M.2, Author
Eddy, Tyler D.2, Author
Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly2, Author
Novaglio, Camilla2, Author
Rousseau, Yannick2, Author
Watson, Reg A.2, Author
Stock, Charles2, AuthorLiu, Xiao2, AuthorHeneghan, Ryan2, AuthorTittensor, Derek2, AuthorMaury, Olivier2, AuthorBüchner, Matthias1, Author              Vogt, Thomas1, Author              Wang, Tingting2, AuthorSun, Fubao2, AuthorSauer, Inga1, Author              Koch, Johannes1, Author              Vanderkelen, Inne2, AuthorJägermeyr, Jonas1, Author              Müller, Christoph1, Author              Rabin, Sam2, AuthorKlar, Jochen1, Author              Vega del Valle, Iliusi1, Author              Lasslop, Gitta2, AuthorChadburn, Sarah2, AuthorBurke, Eleanor2, AuthorGallego-Sala, Angela2, AuthorSmith, Noah2, AuthorChang, Jinfeng2, AuthorHantson, Stijn2, AuthorBurton, Chantelle2, AuthorGädeke, Anne1, Author              Li, Fang2, AuthorGosling, Simon N.2, AuthorMüller Schmied, Hannes2, AuthorHattermann, Fred Fokko1, Author              Wang, Jida2, AuthorYao, Fangfang2, AuthorHickler, Thomas2, AuthorMarcé, Rafael2, AuthorPierson, Don2, AuthorThiery, Wim2, AuthorMercado-Bettín, Daniel2, AuthorLadwig, Robert2, AuthorAyala-Zamora, Ana Isabel2, AuthorForrest, Matthew2, AuthorBechtold, Michel2, Author more..
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: This paper describes the rationale and the protocol of the first component of the third simulation round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a, http://www.isimip.org, last access: 2 November 2023) and the associated set of climate-related and direct human forcing data (CRF and DHF, respectively). The observation-based climate-related forcings for the first time include high-resolution observational climate forcings derived by orographic downscaling, monthly to hourly coastal water levels, and wind fields associated with historical tropical cyclones. The DHFs include land use patterns, population densities, information about water and agricultural management, and fishing intensities. The ISIMIP3a impact model simulations driven by these observation-based climate-related and direct human forcings are designed to test to what degree the impact models can explain observed changes in natural and human systems. In a second set of ISIMIP3a experiments the participating impact models are forced by the same DHFs but a counterfactual set of atmospheric forcings and coastal water levels where observed trends have been removed. These experiments are designed to allow for the attribution of observed changes in natural, human, and managed systems to climate change, rising CH4 and CO2 concentrations, and sea level rise according to the definition of the Working Group II contribution to the IPCC AR6.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2023-02-172023-11-092024-01-042024-01-04
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 51
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see DOI)
Working Group: Data-Centric Modeling of Cross-Sectoral Impacts
Working Group: Event-based modeling of economic impacts of climate change
Working Group: Impacts of Climate Change on Human Population Dynamics
Model / method: Qualitative Methods
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Freshwater
Research topic keyword: Forest
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Health
Regional keyword: Global
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Degree: -

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Project name : CASCADES
Grant ID : 821010
Funding program : Horizon 2020 (H2020)
Funding organization : European Commission (EC)
Project name : RECEIPT
Grant ID : 820712
Funding program : Horizon 2020 (H2020)
Funding organization : European Commission (EC)

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Title: Geoscientific Model Development
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 17 (1) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1 - 51 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals185
Publisher: Copernicus