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  Monte Carlo basin bifurcation analysis

Gelbrecht, M., Kurths, J., & Hellmann, F. (2020). Monte Carlo basin bifurcation analysis. New Journal of Physics, 22:. doi:10.1088/1367-2630/ab7a05.

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資料種別: 学術論文

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8990oa.pdf (出版社版), 3MB
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8990oa.pdf
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 作成者:
Gelbrecht, Maximilian1, 著者              
Kurths, Jürgen1, 著者              
Hellmann, Frank1, 著者              
所属:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 要旨: Many high-dimensional complex systems exhibit an enormously complex landscape of possible asymptotic states. Here, we present a numerical approach geared towards analyzing such systems. It is situated between the classical analysis with macroscopic order parameters and a more thorough, detailed bifurcation analysis. With our machine learning method, based on random sampling and clustering methods, we are able to characterize the different asymptotic states or classes thereof and even their basins of attraction. In order to do this, suitable, easy to compute, statistics of trajectories with randomly generated initial conditions and parameters are clustered by an algorithm such as DBSCAN. Due to its modular and flexible nature, our method has a wide range of possible applications in many disciplines. While typical applications are oscillator networks, it is not limited only to ordinary differential equation systems, every complex system yielding trajectories, such as maps or agent-based models, can be analyzed, as we show by applying it the Dodds–Watts model, a generalized SIRS-model, modeling social and biological contagion. A second order Kuramoto model, used, e.g. to investigate power grid dynamics, and a Stuart–Landau oscillator network, each exhibiting a complex multistable regime, are shown as well. The method is available to use as a package for the Julia language.

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 日付: 2020
 出版の状態: Finally published
 ページ: -
 出版情報: -
 目次: -
 査読: 査読あり
 識別子(DOI, ISBNなど): DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/ab7a05
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
eDoc: 8990
MDB-ID: pending
Research topic keyword: Complex Networks
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Model / method: Machine Learning
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Working Group: Development of advanced time series analysis techniques
Working Group: Network- and machine-learning-based prediction of extreme events
 学位: -

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出版物 1

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出版物名: New Journal of Physics
種別: 学術雑誌, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
 著者・編者:
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出版社, 出版地: -
ページ: - 巻号: 22 通巻号: 033032 開始・終了ページ: - 識別子(ISBN, ISSN, DOIなど): CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/1911272
Publisher: IOP Publishing