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  Substantial differences in crop yield sensitivities between models call for functionality-based model evaluation

Müller, C., Jägermeyr, J., Franke, J. A., Balkovič, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P., Folberth, C., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, R., Jacquemin, I., Khabarov, N., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T., Wang, X., Williams, K. E., Zabel, F., Elliott, J. W. (2024): Substantial differences in crop yield sensitivities between models call for functionality-based model evaluation. - Earth's Future, 12, 3, e2023EF003773.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003773

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https://zenodo.org/records/2582531 (???ENUM_CONTENTCATEGORY_supplementary-material???)
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This data set contains output data from simulations with the model APSIM-UGOE for maize as part of AgMIP's Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (GGCMI) phase II output data set.
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???:
Müller, Christoph1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Jägermeyr, Jonas1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Franke, James A.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Balkovič, Juraj2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Ciais, Philippe2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Dury, Marie2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Falloon, Pete2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Folberth, Christian2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Hank, Tobias2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Hoffmann, Munir2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Izaurralde, Roberto2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Jacquemin, Ingrid2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Khabarov, Nikolay2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Liu, Wenfeng2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Olin, Stefan2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Pugh, Thomas2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Wang, Xuhui2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Williams, Karina Emmanuelle2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Zabel, Florian2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Elliott, Joshua W2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
???ViewItemFull_lblAffiliations???:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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???ViewItemFull_lblSubject???: agmip, crop model, evaluation, global, sensitivity, uncertainty
 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: Crop models are often used to project future crop yield under climate and global change and typically show a broad range of outcomes. To understand differences in modeled responses, we analysed modeled crop yield response types using impact response surfaces along four drivers of crop yield: carbon dioxide (C), temperature (T), water (W), and nitrogen (N). Crop yield response types help to understand differences in simulated responses per driver and their combinations rather than aggregated changes in yields as the result of simultaneous changes in various drivers. We find that models’ sensitivities to the individual drivers are substantially different and often more different across models than across regions. There is some agreement across models with respect to the spatial patterns of response types but strong differences in the distribution of response types across models and their configurations suggests that models need to undergo further scrutiny. We suggest establishing standards in model evaluation based on emergent functionality not only against historical yield observations but also against dedicated experiments across different drivers to analyze emergent functional patterns of crop models.

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???ViewItemFull_lblLanguages???: eng - English
 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2023-05-022024-02-212024-03-112024-03-11
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: 21
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD2 - Climate Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD2 - Climate Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Land Use and Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Food & Agriculture
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_REGIONALK???: Global
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: LPJmL
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MDB_ID???: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see DOI)
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_OATYPE???: Gold - DEAL Wiley
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_DOI???: 10.1029/2023EF003773
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???ViewItemFull_lblSourceTitle???: Earth's Future
???ViewItemFull_lblSourceGenre???: ???ENUM_GENRE_JOURNAL???, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: ???lbl_noEntry??? ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceVolumeIssue???: 12 (3) ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceSequenceNo???: e2023EF003773 ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceStartEndPage???: ???lbl_noEntry??? ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceIdentifier???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_CONE???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/170925
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