Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact 
attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison 
Project (ISIMIP3a)

Frieler, Katja; Volkholz, Jan; Lange, Stefan; Schewe, Jacob; Mengel, Matthias; Rivas López, María del Rocío; Otto, Christian; Reyer, Christopher P. O.; Karger, Dirk Nikolaus; Malle, Johanna T.; Treu, Simon; Menz, Christoph; Blanchard, Julia L.; Harrison, Cheryl S.; Petrik, Colleen M.; Eddy, Tyler D.; Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly; Novaglio, Camilla; Rousseau, Yannick; Watson, Reg A.; Stock, Charles; Liu, Xiao; Heneghan, Ryan; Tittensor, Derek; Maury, Olivier; Büchner, Matthias; Vogt, Thomas; Wang, Tingting; Sun, Fubao; Sauer, Inga; Koch, Johannes; Vanderkelen, Inne; Jägermeyr, Jonas; Müller, Christoph; Rabin, Sam; Klar, Jochen; Vega del Valle, Iliusi; Lasslop, Gitta; Chadburn, Sarah; Burke, Eleanor; Gallego-Sala, Angela; Smith, Noah; Chang, Jinfeng; Hantson, Stijn; Burton, Chantelle; Gädeke, Anne; Li, Fang; Gosling, Simon N.; Müller Schmied, Hannes; Hattermann, Fred Fokko; Wang, Jida; Yao, Fangfang; Hickler, Thomas; Marcé, Rafael; Pierson, Don; Thiery, Wim; Mercado-Bettín, Daniel; Ladwig, Robert; Ayala-Zamora, Ana Isabel; Forrest, Matthew; Bechtold, Michel

doi:10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024

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Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a)

Authors

/persons/resource/Katja.Frieler

Frieler, Katja
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Jan.Volkholz

Volkholz, Jan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/slange

Lange, Stefan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Schewe

Schewe, Jacob
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/matthias.mengel

Mengel, Matthias
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/rivas

Rivas López, María del Rocío
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/christian.otto

Otto, Christian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Reyer

Reyer, Christopher P. O.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Karger, Dirk Nikolaus
External Organizations;

Malle, Johanna T.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Simon.Treu

Treu, Simon
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Menz

Menz, Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Blanchard, Julia L.
External Organizations;

Harrison, Cheryl S.
External Organizations;

Petrik, Colleen M.
External Organizations;

Eddy, Tyler D.
External Organizations;

Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly
External Organizations;

Novaglio, Camilla
External Organizations;

Rousseau, Yannick
External Organizations;

Watson, Reg A.
External Organizations;

Stock, Charles
External Organizations;

Liu, Xiao
External Organizations;

Heneghan, Ryan
External Organizations;

Tittensor, Derek
External Organizations;

Maury, Olivier
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Matthias.Buechner

Büchner, Matthias
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/thomas.vogt

Vogt, Thomas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Wang, Tingting
External Organizations;

Sun, Fubao
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/inga.sauer

Sauer, Inga
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Johannes.Koch

Koch, Johannes
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Vanderkelen, Inne
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/jonasjae

Jägermeyr, Jonas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Mueller

Müller, Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Rabin, Sam
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/jochen.klar

Klar, Jochen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/delvalle

Vega del Valle, Iliusi
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Lasslop, Gitta
External Organizations;

Chadburn, Sarah
External Organizations;

Burke, Eleanor
External Organizations;

Gallego-Sala, Angela
External Organizations;

Smith, Noah
External Organizations;

Chang, Jinfeng
External Organizations;

Hantson, Stijn
External Organizations;

Burton, Chantelle
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Anne.Gaedeke

Gädeke, Anne
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Li, Fang
External Organizations;

Gosling, Simon N.
External Organizations;

Müller Schmied, Hannes
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Fred.Hattermann

Hattermann, Fred Fokko
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Wang, Jida
External Organizations;

Yao, Fangfang
External Organizations;

Hickler, Thomas
External Organizations;

Marcé, Rafael
External Organizations;

Pierson, Don
External Organizations;

Thiery, Wim
External Organizations;

Mercado-Bettín, Daniel
External Organizations;

Ladwig, Robert
External Organizations;

Ayala-Zamora, Ana Isabel
External Organizations;

Forrest, Matthew
External Organizations;

Bechtold, Michel
External Organizations;

External Ressource

https://data.isimip.org/
(Supplementary material)

Fulltext (public)

gmd-17-1-2024.pdf
(Publisher version), 5MB

Supplementary Material (public)

There is no public supplementary material available

Citation

Frieler, K., Volkholz, J., Lange, S., Schewe, J., Mengel, M., Rivas López, M. d. R., Otto, C., Reyer, C. P. O., Karger, D. N., Malle, J. T., Treu, S., Menz, C., Blanchard, J. L., Harrison, C. S., Petrik, C. M., Eddy, T. D., Ortega-Cisneros, K., Novaglio, C., Rousseau, Y., Watson, R. A., Stock, C., Liu, X., Heneghan, R., Tittensor, D., Maury, O., Büchner, M., Vogt, T., Wang, T., Sun, F., Sauer, I., Koch, J., Vanderkelen, I., Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., Rabin, S., Klar, J., Vega del Valle, I., Lasslop, G., Chadburn, S., Burke, E., Gallego-Sala, A., Smith, N., Chang, J., Hantson, S., Burton, C., Gädeke, A., Li, F., Gosling, S. N., Müller Schmied, H., Hattermann, F. F., Wang, J., Yao, F., Hickler, T., Marcé, R., Pierson, D., Thiery, W., Mercado-Bettín, D., Ladwig, R., Ayala-Zamora, A. I., Forrest, M., Bechtold, M. (2024): Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a). - Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 1, 1-51.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024

Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_29270

Abstract

This paper describes the rationale and the protocol of the first component of the third simulation round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a, http://www.isimip.org, last access: 2 November 2023) and the associated set of climate-related and direct human forcing data (CRF and DHF, respectively). The observation-based climate-related forcings for the first time include high-resolution observational climate forcings derived by orographic downscaling, monthly to hourly coastal water levels, and wind fields associated with historical tropical cyclones. The DHFs include land use patterns, population densities, information about water and agricultural management, and fishing intensities. The ISIMIP3a impact model simulations driven by these observation-based climate-related and direct human forcings are designed to test to what degree the impact models can explain observed changes in natural and human systems. In a second set of ISIMIP3a experiments the participating impact models are forced by the same DHFs but a counterfactual set of atmospheric forcings and coastal water levels where observed trends have been removed. These experiments are designed to allow for the attribution of observed changes in natural, human, and managed systems to climate change, rising CH4 and CO2 concentrations, and sea level rise according to the definition of the Working Group II contribution to the IPCC AR6.