The need for evidence-based climate risk and adaptation assessments: lessons 
learned from the AGRICA project

Murken, Lisa; Tomalka, Julia; Abigaba, David; Amoah, Antwi-Bosiako; Amougou, Joseph Armathé; Anaba, Muriel; Arumugam, Ponraj; Awori, Eres; Baek, Hye-Rin Lea; Below, Till; Cartsburg, Matti; Chemura, Abel; Cronauer, Carla Catarina; Didovets, Iulii; Gizaw, Adefires Worku; Gleixner, Stephanie; Gloy, Nele; Grams, Enrico; Habtemariam, Lemlem Teklegiorgis; Hampf, Anna; Hauf, Ylva; Heckmann, Tim; Ibrahim, Boubacar; Jansen, Lennart; Jarawura, Francis; Kagonbé, Timothée; Kaufmann, Juliane; Kephe, Priscilla; Klockemann, Lena; Lange, Stefan; Laudien, Rahel; Liersch, Stefan; Lipka, Naima; Lüttringhaus, Anna Sophia; Neer, Sibylla; Neya, Oblé; Noleppa, Steffen; Ostberg, Sebastian; Pollig, Jonas; Romanovska, Paula; Röhrig , Felicitas; Schauberger, Bernhard; Shukla, Roopam; Staubach, Lina; Tchindjang, Mesmin; Undorf, Sabine; Vetter, Regina; von Loeben, Sophie Charlotte; von Stechow, Christoph; von Witzke, Katarina; Weituschat, Chiara Sophia; Wortmann, Michel; Yalew, Amsalu Woldie; Zouh, Isabella; Gornott, Christoph

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad50eb

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The need for evidence-based climate risk and adaptation assessments: lessons learned from the AGRICA project

Authors

/persons/resource/lisa.murken

Murken, Lisa
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Tomalka

Tomalka, Julia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/david.abigaba

Abigaba, David
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Amoah, Antwi-Bosiako
External Organizations;

Amougou, Joseph Armathé
External Organizations;

Anaba, Muriel
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Arumugam.Ponraj

Arumugam, Ponraj
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Awori, Eres
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/HyeRinLea.Baek

Baek, Hye-Rin Lea
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Below, Till
External Organizations;

Cartsburg, Matti
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Chemura

Chemura, Abel
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/carla.cronauer

Cronauer, Carla Catarina
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/didovets

Didovets, Iulii
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Gizaw, Adefires Worku
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Stephanie.Gleixner

Gleixner, Stephanie
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/nele.gloy

Gloy, Nele
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Grams, Enrico
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Habtemariam

Habtemariam, Lemlem Teklegiorgis
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/anna.hampf

Hampf, Anna
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Ylva.Hauf

Hauf, Ylva
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/tim.heckmann

Heckmann, Tim
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Ibrahim, Boubacar
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/jansen.lennart

Jansen, Lennart
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Jarawura, Francis
External Organizations;

Kagonbé, Timothée
External Organizations;

Kaufmann, Juliane
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/priscilla.kephe

Kephe, Priscilla
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Klockemann, Lena
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/slange

Lange, Stefan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Rahel.Laudien

Laudien, Rahel
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Stefan.Liersch

Liersch, Stefan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/naima.lipka

Lipka, Naima
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/sophia.luettringhaus

Lüttringhaus, Anna Sophia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Neer, Sibylla
External Organizations;

Neya, Oblé
External Organizations;

Noleppa, Steffen
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/sebastian.ostberg

Ostberg, Sebastian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Pollig, Jonas
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/paula.romanovska

Romanovska, Paula
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Röhrig , Felicitas
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/schauberger

Schauberger, Bernhard
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Shukla

Shukla, Roopam
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Staubach, Lina
External Organizations;

Tchindjang, Mesmin
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/sabineu

Undorf, Sabine
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Vetter, Regina
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Loeben

von Loeben, Sophie Charlotte
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

von Stechow, Christoph
External Organizations;

von Witzke, Katarina
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/weituschat.chiara

Weituschat, Chiara Sophia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/michael.wortmann

Wortmann, Michel
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/yalew

Yalew, Amsalu Woldie
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Zouh, Isabella
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Gornott

Gornott, Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

External Ressource

No external resources are shared

Fulltext (public)

Murken_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_062001.pdf
(Publisher version), 1021KB

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Citation

Murken, L., Tomalka, J., Abigaba, D., Amoah, A.-B., Amougou, J. A., Anaba, M., Arumugam, P., Awori, E., Baek, H.-R.-L., Below, T., Cartsburg, M., Chemura, A., Cronauer, C. C., Didovets, I., Gizaw, A. W., Gleixner, S., Gloy, N., Grams, E., Habtemariam, L. T., Hampf, A., Hauf, Y., Heckmann, T., Ibrahim, B., Jansen, L., Jarawura, F., Kagonbé, T., Kaufmann, J., Kephe, P., Klockemann, L., Lange, S., Laudien, R., Liersch, S., Lipka, N., Lüttringhaus, A. S., Neer, S., Neya, O., Noleppa, S., Ostberg, S., Pollig, J., Romanovska, P., Röhrig, F., Schauberger, B., Shukla, R., Staubach, L., Tchindjang, M., Undorf, S., Vetter, R., von Loeben, S. C., von Stechow, C., von Witzke, K., Weituschat, C. S., Wortmann, M., Yalew, A. W., Zouh, I., Gornott, C. (2024): The need for evidence-based climate risk and adaptation assessments: lessons learned from the AGRICA project. - Environmental Research Letters, 19, 6, 062001.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad50eb

Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_29960

Abstract

Climate change poses a threat to the agricultural sector, increasing the risk of crop failures, food insecurity and poverty. Given the need for an efficient allocation of scarce adaptation finance, scientific evidence can help to guide the prioritization of adaptation options. This article offers reflections on lessons learned from the AGRICA project, a collaboration between the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Running from 2018 to 2024, AGRICA aimed to provide scientific evidence on climate risks, related impacts and suitable adaptation strategies for the agricultural sector in sub-Saharan Africa. Bringing together insights from science, development cooperation and policy, we argue for the need to produce and use rigorous scientific evidence for adaptation policy and planning, including for the formulation and implementation of ambitious National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). This is motivated by assessments such as from the IPCC (2022), which deems current NDC efforts in the agricultural sector insufficient for achieving the Paris Agreement. We discuss lessons learned with a focus on trade-offs between in-depth and standardized assessments, data availability and spatial resolution, modelling uncertainty and methodological pluralism to bridge the science-policy gap.