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The size distribution of spatiotemporal extreme rainfall clusters around the globe

Authors
/persons/resource/traxl

Traxl,  Dominik
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Niklas.Boers

Boers,  Niklas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/rheinwalt

Rheinwalt,  Aljoscha
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/goswami

Goswami,  Bedartha
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Juergen.Kurths

Kurths,  Jürgen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Citation

Traxl, D., Boers, N., Rheinwalt, A., Goswami, B., Kurths, J. (2016): The size distribution of spatiotemporal extreme rainfall clusters around the globe. - Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 18, 9939-9947.
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070692


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_21184
Abstract
The scaling behavior of rainfall has been extensively studied both in terms of event magnitudes and in terms of spatial extents of the events. Different heavy‐tailed distributions have been proposed as candidates for both instances, but statistically rigorous treatments are rare. Here we combine the domains of event magnitudes and event area sizes by a spatiotemporal integration of 3‐hourly rain rates corresponding to extreme events derived from the quasi‐global high‐resolution rainfall product Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42. A maximum likelihood evaluation reveals that the distribution of spatiotemporally integrated extreme rainfall cluster sizes over the oceans is best described by a truncated power law, calling into question previous statements about scale‐free distributions. The observed subpower law behavior of the distribution's tail is evaluated with a simple generative model, which indicates that the exponential truncation of an otherwise scale‐free spatiotemporal cluster size distribution over the oceans could be explained by the existence of land masses on the globe.