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Reports of coal's terminal decline may be exaggerated

Urheber*innen
/persons/resource/Ottmar.Edenhofer

Edenhofer,  Ottmar
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Jan.Steckel

Steckel,  Jan Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Jakob,  M.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Bertram

Bertram,  Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Zitation

Edenhofer, O., Steckel, J. C., Jakob, M., Bertram, C. (2018): Reports of coal's terminal decline may be exaggerated. - Environmental Research Letters, 13, 2, 024019.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa3a2


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22048
Zusammenfassung
We estimate the cumulative future emissions expected to be released by coal power plants that are currently under construction, announced, or planned. Even though coal consumption has recently declined and plans to build new coal-fired capacities have been shelved, constructing all these planned coal-fired power plants would endanger national and international climate targets. Plans to build new coal-fired power capacity would likely undermine the credibility of some countries' (Intended) Nationally Determined Contributions submitted to the UNFCCC. If all the coal-fired power plants that are currently planned were built, the carbon budget for reaching the 2 °C temperature target would nearly be depleted. Propositions about 'coal's terminal decline' may thereby be premature. The phase-out of coal requires dedicated and well-designed policies. We discuss the political economy of policy options that could avoid a continued build-up of coal-fired power plants.