LPJmL4 - a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land - Part 2: Model 
evaluation

Schaphoff, Sibyll; Forkel, M.; Müller, Christoph; Knauer, J.; von Bloh, Werner; Gerten, Dieter; Jägermeyr, Jonas; Lucht, Wolfgang; Rammig, A.; Thonicke, Kirsten; Waha, Katharina

doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1377-2018

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LPJmL4 - a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land - Part 2: Model evaluation

Authors

/persons/resource/Sibyll.Schaphoff

Schaphoff, Sibyll
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Forkel, M.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Mueller

Müller, Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Knauer, J.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Werner.von.Bloh

von Bloh, Werner
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Dieter.Gerten

Gerten, Dieter
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/jonasjae

Jägermeyr, Jonas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Wolfgang.Lucht

Lucht, Wolfgang
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Rammig, A.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Kirsten.Thonicke

Thonicke, Kirsten
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/katharina.waha

Waha, Katharina
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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8102oa.pdf
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引用

Schaphoff, S., Forkel, M., Müller, C., Knauer, J., von Bloh, W., Gerten, D., Jägermeyr, J., Lucht, W., Rammig, A., Thonicke, K., & Waha, K. (2018). LPJmL4 - a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land - Part 2: Model evaluation. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(4), 1377-1403. doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1377-2018.

引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22468

要旨

The dynamic global vegetation model LPJmL4 is a process-based model that simulates climate and land use change impacts on the terrestrial biosphere, agricultural production, and the water and carbon cycle. Different versions of the model have been developed and applied to evaluate the role of natural and managed ecosystems in the Earth system and the potential impacts of global environmental change. A comprehensive model description of the new model version, LPJmL4, is provided in a companion paper (Schaphoff et al., 2018c). Here, we provide a full picture of the model performance, going beyond standard benchmark procedures and give hints on the strengths and shortcomings of the model to identify the need for further model improvement. Specifically, we evaluate LPJmL4 against various datasets from in situ measurement sites, satellite observations, and agricultural yield statistics. We apply a range of metrics to evaluate the quality of the model to simulate stocks and flows of carbon and water in natural and managed ecosystems at different temporal and spatial scales. We show that an advanced phenology scheme improves the simulation of seasonal fluctuations in the atmospheric CO2 concentration, while the permafrost scheme improves estimates of carbon stocks. The full LPJmL4 code including the new developments will be supplied open source through https://gitlab.pik-potsdam.de/lpjml/LPJmL. We hope that this will lead to new model developments and applications that improve the model performance and possibly build up a new understanding of the terrestrial biosphere.