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Journal Article

Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries [Brief Communication]

Authors
/persons/resource/Theresa.Falkendal

Falkendal,  Theresa
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/christian.otto

Otto,  Christian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Schewe

Schewe,  Jacob
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/jonasjae

Jägermeyr,  Jonas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Konar,  Megan
External Organizations;

Kummu,  Matti
External Organizations;

Watkins,  Ben
External Organizations;

Puma,  Michael
External Organizations;

External Ressource
No external resources are shared
Fulltext (public)

25005oa.pdf
(Postprint), 504KB

Supplementary Material (public)
There is no public supplementary material available
Citation

Falkendal, T., Otto, C., Schewe, J., Jägermeyr, J., Konar, M., Kummu, M., Watkins, B., Puma, M. (2021): Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries [Brief Communication]. - Nature Food, 2, 1, 11-14.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25005
Abstract
Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages.