Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate

Robinson, Alexander; Lehmann, Jascha; Barriopedro, David; Rahmstorf, Stefan; Coumou, Dim

doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w

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Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate

Authors

/persons/resource/robinson

Robinson, Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Jascha.Lehmann

Lehmann, Jascha
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Barriopedro, David
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Stefan.Rahmstorf

Rahmstorf, Stefan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/coumou

Coumou, Dim
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Citation

Robinson, A., Lehmann, J., Barriopedro, D., Rahmstorf, S., Coumou, D. (2021): Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate. - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 45.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w

Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25992

Abstract

Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of heat extremes that would be virtually impossible without anthropogenic global warming. Also, record rainfall extremes have continued to increase worldwide and, on average, 1 in 4 rainfall records in the last decade can be attributed to climate change. Tropical regions, comprised of vulnerable countries that typically contributed least to anthropogenic climate change, continue to see the strongest increase in extremes.