日本語
 
Privacy Policy ポリシー/免責事項
  詳細検索ブラウズ

アイテム詳細

登録内容を編集ファイル形式で保存
一時保存へ追加
  タグ情報を表示リリース履歴を表示詳細要約

公開
学術論文

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation

Authors

Chrysafi,  A.
External Organizations;

Virkki,  V.
External Organizations;

Jalava,  M.
External Organizations;

Sandström,  V.
External Organizations;

Piipponen,  J.
External Organizations;

Porkka,  M.
External Organizations;

Lade,  S.J.
External Organizations;

La Mere,  K.
External Organizations;

Wang-Erlandsson,  L.
External Organizations;

Scherer,  L.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/andersen

Andersen,  Lauren
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Bennett,  E.
External Organizations;

Brauman,  K.A.
External Organizations;

Cooper,  G.S.
External Organizations;

De Palma,  A.
External Organizations;

Döll,  P.
External Organizations;

Downing,  A.S.
External Organizations;

DuBois,  T.C.
External Organizations;

Fetzer,  I.
External Organizations;

Fulton,  E.A.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Dieter.Gerten

Gerten,  Dieter
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Jaafar,  H.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/jonasjae

Jägermeyr,  Jonas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Jaramillo,  F.
External Organizations;

Jung,  M.
External Organizations;

Kahiluoto,  H.
External Organizations;

Lassaletta,  L.
External Organizations;

Mackay,  A.W.
External Organizations;

Mason-D'Croz,  D.
External Organizations;

Mekonnen,  M.M.
External Organizations;

Nash,  K.L.
External Organizations;

Pastor,  A.V.
External Organizations;

Ramankutty,  N.
External Organizations;

Ridoutt,  B.
External Organizations;

Siebert,  S.
External Organizations;

Simmons,  B.I.
External Organizations;

Staal,  A.
External Organizations;

Sun,  Z.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Arne.Tobian

Tobian,  Arne
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Usubiaga-Liano,  A.
External Organizations;

van der Ent,  R.J.
External Organizations;

van Soesbergen,  A.
External Organizations;

Verburg,  P.H.
External Organizations;

Wada,  Y.
External Organizations;

Zipper,  S.
External Organizations;

Kummu,  M.
External Organizations;

URL
There are no locators available
フルテキスト (公開)

27179oa.pdf
(出版社版), 4MB

付随資料 (公開)
There is no public supplementary material available
引用

Chrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M., Sandström, V., Piipponen, J., Porkka, M., Lade, S., La Mere, K., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Scherer, L., Andersen, L., Bennett, E., Brauman, K., Cooper, G., De Palma, A., Döll, P., Downing, A., DuBois, T., Fetzer, I., Fulton, E., Gerten, D., Jaafar, H., Jägermeyr, J., Jaramillo, F., Jung, M., Kahiluoto, H., Lassaletta, L., Mackay, A., Mason-D'Croz, D., Mekonnen, M., Nash, K., Pastor, A., Ramankutty, N., Ridoutt, B., Siebert, S., Simmons, B., Staal, A., Sun, Z., Tobian, A., Usubiaga-Liano, A., van der Ent, R., van Soesbergen, A., Verburg, P., Wada, Y., Zipper, S., & Kummu, M. (2022). Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation. Nature Sustainability, 5, 830-842. doi:10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6.


引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_27179
要旨
Several safe boundaries of critical Earth system processes have already been crossed due to human perturbations; not accounting for their interactions may further narrow the safe operating space for humanity. Using expert knowledge elicitation, we explored interactions among seven variables representing Earth system processes relevant to food production, identifying many interactions little explored in Earth system literature. We found that green water and land system change affect other Earth system processes strongly, while land, freshwater and ocean components of biosphere integrity are the most impacted by other Earth system processes, most notably blue water and biogeochemical flows. We also mapped a complex network of mechanisms mediating these interactions and created a future research prioritization scheme based on interaction strengths and existing knowledge gaps. Our study improves the understanding of Earth system interactions, with sustainability implications including improved Earth system modelling and more explicit biophysical limits for future food production.