Scientific advice for the determination of an EU-wide 2040 climate target and a 
greenhouse gas budget for 2030–2050

Edenhofer, Ottmar; Jacobsen, Jette Bredahl; Díaz Anadón, Laura; van Aalst, Maarten; Cartalis, Constantinos; Dessai, Suraje; Eory, Vera; Hertwich, Edgar; Kitzing, Lena; López-Gunn, Elena; Nilsson, Lars J.; Riahi, Keywan; Rogelj, Joeri; Schrijver, Nicolaas; Soussana, Jean-Francois

doi:10.2800/609405

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Scientific advice for the determination of an EU-wide 2040 climate target and a greenhouse gas budget for 2030–2050

Authors

/persons/resource/Ottmar.Edenhofer

Edenhofer, Ottmar
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Jacobsen, Jette Bredahl
External Organizations;

Díaz Anadón, Laura
External Organizations;

van Aalst, Maarten
External Organizations;

Cartalis, Constantinos
External Organizations;

Dessai, Suraje
External Organizations;

Eory, Vera
External Organizations;

Hertwich, Edgar
External Organizations;

Kitzing, Lena
External Organizations;

López-Gunn, Elena
External Organizations;

Nilsson, Lars J.
External Organizations;

Riahi, Keywan
External Organizations;

Rogelj, Joeri
External Organizations;

Schrijver, Nicolaas
External Organizations;

Soussana, Jean-Francois
External Organizations;

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引用

Edenhofer, O., Jacobsen, J. B., Díaz Anadón, L., van Aalst, M., Cartalis, C., Dessai, S., Eory, V., Hertwich, E., Kitzing, L., López-Gunn, E., Nilsson, L. J., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., Schrijver, N., & Soussana, J.-F.(2023). Scientific advice for the determination of an EU-wide 2040 climate target and a greenhouse gas budget for 2030–2050. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.

引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_29489

要旨

The European Climate Law requires the EU to adopt a 2040 climate target, taking into account the advice from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change. The Advisory Board recommends keeping the EU’s cumulative greenhouse gas emissions below 11-14 Gt CO2e between 2030 and 2050, and reducing EU greenhouse gas emissions by 90-95 % by 2040, relative to 1990. A fair contribution to climate change mitigation requires ambitious reductions in domestic emissions, complemented by measures outside the EU. The EU 2030 target of at least a 55% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 1990 enables it to reach the recommended 2040 target range and climate neutrality by 2050. The recommended 2040 emission reductions can be achieved through several pathways. Despite their differences, they show a high degree of convergence on a range of issues.