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The impact of temporal hydrogen regulation on hydrogen exporters and their domestic energy transition

Urheber*innen

Schumm,  Leon
External Organizations;

Abdel-Khalek,  Hazem
External Organizations;

Brown,  Tom
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Falko.Ueckerdt

Ueckerdt,  Falko       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Sterner,  Michael
External Organizations;

Parzen,  Maximilian
External Organizations;

Fioriti,  Davide
External Organizations;

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32781oa.pdf
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Zitation

Schumm, L., Abdel-Khalek, H., Brown, T., Ueckerdt, F., Sterner, M., Parzen, M., Fioriti, D. (2025): The impact of temporal hydrogen regulation on hydrogen exporters and their domestic energy transition. - Nature Communications, 16, 7486.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-62873-w


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_32781
Zusammenfassung
As global demand for green hydrogen rises, potential hydrogen exporters move into the spotlight. While exports can bring countries revenue, large-scale on-grid hydrogen electrolysis for export can profoundly impact domestic energy prices and energy-related emissions. Our investigation explores the interplay of hydrogen exports, domestic energy transition and temporal hydrogen regulation, employing a sector-coupled energy model in Morocco. We find substantial co-benefits of domestic carbon dioxide mitigation and hydrogen exports, whereby exports can reduce market-based costs for domestic electricity consumers while mitigation reduces costs for hydrogen exporters. However, increasing hydrogen exports in a fossil-dominated system can substantially raise market-based costs for domestic electricity consumers, but surprisingly, temporal matching of hydrogen production can lower these costs by up to 31% with minimal impact on exporters. Here, we show that this policy instrument can steer the welfare (re-)distribution between hydrogen exporting firms, hydrogen importers, and domestic electricity consumers and hereby increases acceptance among actors.