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  Between Scylla and Charybdis: Delayed mitigation narrows the passage between large-scale CDR and high costs

Strefler, J., Bauer, N., Kriegler, E., Popp, A., Giannousakis, A., Edenhofer, O. (2018): Between Scylla and Charybdis: Delayed mitigation narrows the passage between large-scale CDR and high costs. - Environmental Research Letters, 13, 4, 044015.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab2ba

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 Creators:
Strefler, Jessica1, Author              
Bauer, Nicolas1, Author              
Kriegler, Elmar1, Author              
Popp, Alexander1, Author              
Giannousakis, Anastasis1, Author              
Edenhofer, Ottmar1, Author              
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1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: There are major concerns about the sustainability of large-scale deployment of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. It is therefore an urgent question to what extent CDR will be needed to implement the long term ambition of the Paris Agreement. Here we show that ambitious near term mitigation significantly decreases CDR requirements to keep the Paris climate targets within reach. Following the nationally determined contributions (NDCs) until 2030 makes 2 °C unachievable without CDR. Reducing 2030 emissions by 20% below NDC levels alleviates the trade-off between high transitional challenges and high CDR deployment. Nevertheless, transitional challenges increase significantly if CDR is constrained to less than 5 Gt CO2 a−1 in any year. At least 8 Gt CO2 a−1 CDR are necessary in the long term to achieve 1.5 °C and more than 15 Gt CO2 a−1 to keep transitional challenges in bounds.

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 Dates: 2018
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab2ba
PIKDOMAIN: Sustainable Solutions - Research Domain III
eDoc: 8040
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: CO2 Removal
Research topic keyword: Climate Policy
Research topic keyword: Carbon Pricing
Model / method: REMIND
Regional keyword: Global
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
Working Group: Energy Systems
Working Group: Research Software Engineering for Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Land-Use Management
 Degree: -

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Title: Environmental Research Letters
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 13 (4) Sequence Number: 044015 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/150326
Publisher: IOP Publishing